Monday, August 29, 2022

You Have to Given Them Credit

On the 24th of August, 2022 United States President Joe Biden put forward a plan to provide a 10,000 USD relief for student loan dept; an additional 10,000 USD is available for some if conditions apply. Buying votes has long been a part of politics and so this move is not a novelty, unfortunately this is a case of where the cure is more awful then the disease and will most likely backfire as a political move simply due to the maths.
 
In the United States, the money expected to be allocated to this loan forgiveness program is at least $300 billon USD. Of course the big problem is that Joe Biden doesn’t have the $300 plus billion and so Pres. Biden, like all politicians, has to go to the public purse and this is where the math comes in because the number of people off of the student loan roster is larger then the number on it.
 
Here are some of the people not eligible for any form of relief under this bill; people who have already paid off their student loan, people who took out a private loan to attend school, people who took out a loan to buy a truck so they could get to and from work as they learned a trade. This bill will demand that the people listed above will be paying off the debts of those people benefiting from the bill. While not a pretty metaphor, this bill is a band-aid placed on the previous band-aid, which was put on an earlier now festering band-aid, that was placed an itch that over scratched.
 
Looking back…
If the higher education systems around the West are not righted the education system and by extension the countries these institutions are in, will collapse. While human history goes back thousands of years there are certain moments which can be noted as a ‘fixed point in time’ for certain events. To see how we got here we certainly don’t have to go all the way back to the university of al-Qarawiyyin, which was established in 859 AD in Morocco or to The University of Bologna which was established in 1088 and so the starting point for this article will begin circa 1966, the year of birth of this author.
 

While the act of providing student loans and grants was already in place in the US since the mid 1800s it wasn’t until the mid 1960s that the United States Federal Government entered into the process by guaranteeing the loans that the students signed an obligation to repay their loan. Previous to the 1960s, the Federal Government mainly provided grants via the GI-Bill and a bill related to STEM degrees after the USSR won the space race against the US and that was the beginning of the journey to where the United States stands today.

 
The university administrators didn’t instantly embrace the new system though within five years it became obvious that many of the institutions were onboard and this was made evident by the significant rise in tuition fees. The Federal Government’s intervention in the student loan process shifted the focus of the educational institution administrators away from a ‘capitalist system’ to a ‘system based on capital’.
 
 Since the Government introduction to the student loan system the price of a higher education has increased drastically. The table below shows a sampling of data from a much more comprehensive table: 
Annual Cost of College Tuition & Fees
Year
Public 4-Year
Private 4-Year
Priv. 4-Year Adjusted
Inflation Rate
2019-20

$9,349

$32,769

$32,769
1.23%
2009-10

$6,717

$22,269

$26,430
1.64%
1999-2000

$3,349

$14,616

$22,208
3.36%
1989-90

$1,780

$8,396

$17,010
5.40%
1979-80

$738

$3,225

$10,686
13.55%
1969-70

$358

$1,562

$10,636
5.72%
 
Within the course of the fifty years from 1970 to 2020 the annual cost of collage tuition rose 26.11 times for public institutions and 20.97 times for private institutions both figures are based on the unadjusted rate. The increase in cost for attending a private institution, under the adjusted rate, is 3.09 times or 208% in just fifty years.
 
NOTE: During the same fifty year span, a push was on to ensure that many jobs which were previously ‘walk in jobs’ would now require a collage degree. This practice regardless if it was coordinated with the schools or not has turned many of the high-school only graduates into wage slaves. This stifled general economic growth and upward economic mobility for those individuals; the days of working one’s way up from the bottom has died.
 
 
You can’t turn back the clock
The student loan system arrived at its current state a little bit at a time; a tweak here and a tweak there coupled with the reaction of those involved. Therefore, a return to a sensible educational environment will have to be done in the same way.
 
A high level plan to providing a sustainable higher education system is outlined below:
1) Independent third party audit and actuary analysis of the higher-education pipeline.
A University/Collage degree, for the purpose of employment, must be considered an investment and every money lender needs to keep this in mind. The audit would perform a review of each discipline and sub-discipline providing real numbers on job placement and salary expectations.
 
2)  Shift the social narrative away from the idea that the word ‘job’ is a dirty word.
Identify fields of work that do not ‘need’ a collage degree in order for the worker to be successful. Many of the people with a University/Collage often complain that it is takes them days to get a trades person for a repair or renovation and that the prices are unreasonable; perhaps a course on how supply and demand sets prices should be included as part of ‘Lesbian Interpretative Dance’ degree.
 
3) Reduce the minimum wage.
The minimum wage is a poorly planed exercise in futility. The prices of everyday run of the mill goods and services are based on the costs incurred to provide said good or service and typically the greatest portion of that cost is payroll. The reader should imagine the amount of consideration that goes into the price of a Big Mac sandwich, does the reader truly believe that the MacDonald’s Corporation does calculate each ingredient down to at least two decimal points from which each of their sandwiches.
 
When the cost of payroll goes up, so goes the price of the Big Mac; these are truths, these are facts. Sticking with the sandwich example, MacDonald’s will have to balance between market appeal coupled with a little bit of profit for the investors and stakeholders. Deviating from this ever vigilant position will risk the survivability of the organization.
 
4) Place limits on foreign student attendance.
Foreign student attendance is an easy way for schools to bring in cost covering cash as these students typically get charged extra and are not eligible for loans backed by the US government. While the numbers can be sorted out later, the baseline, will for the point of argument will be set at 10% with 5% being an open and unrestricted door, while the remaining 5% is based on countries that receive international aid with the recipient of the grant/aid being bared from US citizenship for a period of no less than 10 years, thus reducing the potential for brain drain on thus improving the source country.
 
The reasoning behind this thinking is easily explained. While Universities and Collages purport to be the spreaders of knowledge and best practices the question comes down to who are the beneficiaries of this spread; the reader must recall that the named purpose of government is to benefit the citizenry that have given them the privilege to lead. By allowing 5% of the foreign students to be of any origin those students support the school both financially and are in line with the schools purpose. By using part of the international aid package(s) for the other 5% the schools will benefit source countries, which will have the opportunity to help themselves through the application of good STEM practices. This policy would limit aid based students to STEM related fields.
 
5) Place limits on interest rates.
This policy point is a reflection of policy number one at the top of this list. These schools must once again be put on the hook for their product. Recalling that education is an intangible asset the rate and the risk of investment must be weighed by all parties and as such these people need to conduct themselves accordingly. Interest rates and insurance premiums have long been the measuring sticks for risk, which was abandoned starting in the 1980s in favour of governmental assurances.

By limiting bonded interest rates the schools would have to pick and choose which loans will be accepted into their schools and when the school wants to accept the risk for un-bonded students, that choice will be on the purse of the school.
 
6) Repeal bankruptcy denial.
Currently it is nearly impossible to escape student loan debt and any accrued interest charges tied to it. This created a dogged pursuit for money by the schools backed up by the power and weight of the government thus creating the perfect storm for a money grab.
 
By allowing graduates to once again seek bankruptcy the schools would be forced to rethink the admission process and once again align course offerings and costs with expected earnings. 


Safety First:
Somewhere within the 1960s and 70s is when this author believes the term ‘Safety First’ was brought into the public domain. Safety was outside of the human experience from the beginning of mankind, though death by starvation or exposure has been ever present.
 
Once the Western World adopted ‘Safety First’ in the workplace that catchphrase spread to the general population and polluted the minds of the many. The greatest advancements achievements made by mankind didn’t come under the rubric of ‘safety’. The most obvious example of this is international competition, be it in a war or a space race.
 
Soldiers and Astronauts took risks and achieved goals; sometimes those goals were not always well measured and yet the risks were still taken and the goals achieved, sometimes. Race car drivers don’t put safety first and yet some people still win races. Construction work comes with risk and for that the workers get compensated for that risk and the riskier the work the greater the compensation. In 2021 an Ontario underwater welder could make $101,130 CAD which is $77,584.12 USD.
 
This author would like to put forth the ideal that money should be placed ahead of safety and safety be returned to being an individual effort. Much like affirmative action or other hiring quotas this action by President Biden will create a cohort of people who will have any and all faith in them stripped away.
 
 
Sources:

 

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