Saturday, December 31, 2022

Sunset Clause Triggered, Sunrise Clause Executed

In one form or another every culture and society has a social contract and the changing from the old year to the next is seen as a time of starting afresh by putting the troubles of the year gone by in the dust bin and embracing the hope that the year to be will be better. The sun has set on 2022 and 2023 came in purportedly bringing in bright and shinny thoughts for the New Year for many, so we are told. I question the purpose and resolve of those people who present themselves at Time's Square for the dropping of 'The Ball'. 

The classic New Years song "Auld Lang Syne" provides a message that this author worries has been forgotten. The words "Auld Lang Syne" when translated from the language of the Scots, translates to 'days gone by'. The song goes on to provide two basic messages, one is a statement and the other a question; the statement suggests that regardless of the days gone past still reach for kindness though it will cost you, and the question is, should we forget those who are no longer in our lives? 

The difficult word in the song is 'should'. The verb 'should' has two basic meanings; a) an obligation, duty, or correct course of action, and b) probability, chance or happenstance. Every reasonable person knows that there is no option, in one direction or the other, when it comes to remembering old acquaintances. The folly of trying to forget someone equals the folly of trying to ignore someone at a party; the harder one works to forget a person the more that person remains in mind. 

In days gone by it was said "In the future, everyone will be world-famous for 15 minutes." Andy Warhol probably underestimated just how many people would so strongly embrace his prophetic message. Of course while there are some people who seek fame, there are others who have fame thrust upon them. The public Internet coupled with ubiquity of in cellphone cameras is thrusting more and more people into the spotlight of fame.

A New Years prediction: 2023 will see the cranking up of 'fame', welcomed or not. 

The term 'Internet Influencer' has been around for a few years now. An influencer, in the world of Marketing, is a person who can add credibility to product. This can be easily noted with celebrity endorsements in advertisements and product placements in movies; celebrities and companies chase these situations because at the end of the day the influence adds to the bottom line. On the Internet, things seem to work inversely to the classic model; someone gains followers and then the marketers come a knocking. It has been said that 'the medium is the message', and for this author idea of  'the medium' is a layer cake, where the different layers carry different weights, which can now be manipulated way to easily. 

A New Years prediction: The current energy crises throughout the Western world will hobble the gas -lighting efforts of those who claim that they know what is the best for the rest of us. 

May everyone have the best 2023 possible.
Good night and good luck...



Has the Invention of AI Delivered On the Promise? (Episode II+)

Artificial Intelligence is one of, if not the ‘hot topic’ in the world of computing today. In the second installment in this ‘learning as I go along’ series, affectionately dubbed ‘The Rise of the Clones’ I will be critiquing sample outputs from ChatGPT. So buckle on your boots and let’s start Turing.
 
The first episode in this series provided some historical context on how laymen in the world at large look at the idea of computer ‘intelligence’. In previous personal discussions on the topic of AI, I have always pushed back on the label by claiming that AI is simply big data, my previously mentioned ‘financial friend’ can attest to this. My tech friend, the one with the AI hobby, was true to his word and provided the response from ChatGPT to my question. It is provided below; please note that no corrections or alterations have been made:
 
---------------------------------------START Q0/A0------------------------------------------------
Me to ChatGPT: Has the invention of AI delivered on its promise? Answer by an essay of 500 words.
 
It's answer: Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly developing field that has garnered a lot of attention in recent years. Since its inception, AI has been hailed as a technological revolution that has the potential to transform every aspect of our lives, from healthcare and education to transportation and manufacturing. In many ways, AI has lived up to this promise, delivering significant advances in a wide range of fields. However, it is also important to recognize that AI has its limitations and that it has not yet fully realized its full potential.
 
One of the key promises of AI is its ability to automate and streamline various processes, which can lead to increased efficiency and productivity. For example, AI has been used to improve supply chain management, enabling companies to track and optimize their inventory in real-time. AI has also been applied to manufacturing, where it has been used to improve quality control and reduce waste. In the healthcare industry, AI has been used to analyze medical images and identify patterns that may indicate diseases, helping to improve diagnosis and treatment.
 
Another area where AI has delivered on its promise is in the field of education. AI-powered tutoring and learning platforms have been developed that can adapt to the needs and learning styles of individual students. These platforms can provide personalized feedback and guidance, helping students to learn at their own pace and achieve better outcomes.
 
AI has also had a significant impact on transportation and mobility. Self-driving vehicles are becoming increasingly common, and AI is being used to improve traffic management and reduce the risk of accidents. In addition, AI has been applied to logistics and transportation planning, helping companies to optimize routes and reduce costs.
 
However, it is important to recognize that AI has not yet delivered on all of its promises. One of the main challenges facing AI is the issue of bias. AI systems are often trained on data sets that are not representative of the wider population, leading to biased outcomes. This can be particularly problematic in areas such as healthcare, where biased algorithms could lead to unequal access to care. Another challenge is the lack of transparency in many AI systems, which can make it difficult to understand how they make decisions. This can be a problem when these systems are used in areas such as finance or criminal justice, where the consequences of biased or incorrect decisions can be significant.
 
In conclusion, AI has delivered on many of its promises, bringing significant advances in fields such as manufacturing, healthcare, education, and transportation. However, there are also limitations and challenges that need to be addressed if we are to fully realize the potential of AI. Ensuring that AI systems are transparent and unbiased will be crucial in ensuring that they are fair and effective.
-----------------------------------------STOP Q0/A0-----------------------------------------------
(NOTE: The answer provided has 468 words)
 
Before tackling the response above, a more detailed review of my responses in the previous episode is required. Before diving into this portion of this exercise I was told that in fact ChatGPT does not have access to the public Internet. These examples from online are presented in the form of: Question, Answer, Response and Base Summation (BS).
 
Q1: Tell me about when Christopher Columbus came to the US in 2015?
A1: This question is a bit tricky because Christopher Columbus died in 1506, so he could not have come to the US in 2015. But let’s pretend for a moment that he did!
 
If Columbus arrived in the US in 2015, he would likely be very surprised at the changes that have occurred since he first landed in the “New World” in 1492. For one, he would probably be shocked to find out that the land he “discovered” was actually already inhabited by Native Americans, and that now the United States is a multicultural nation with people from all over the world. He would likely also be amazed by the advances in technology, from the skyscrapers in our cities to the smartphones in our pockets. Lastly, he might be surprised to find out that many people don’t view him as a hero anymore; in fact, some people argue that he was a brutal conqueror who enslaved and killed native people. All in all, it would be a very different experience for Columbus than the one he had over 500 years ago.
 
R1: With the understanding that ChatGPT has no Internet access it MUST be assumed that everything it ‘knows’ is limited only to what it has been told by its tellers. With this in mind the response needs to be looked at in both the particular and the aggregate for through this kaleidoscopic lens we will see the bias of the ‘tellers’.
 
The straightforward response from the AI should have been ‘Columbus could not have visited the US in 2015 because he died in 1506.’ Yet ChatGPT did not stop there and proceeded to provide what can only be described by me as lessons in morality and historical revisionism because Columbus never set foot on what is now the continental USA, with that aside let me carry on with this ‘if’ game.
 
If Columbus had landed in the US circa 1492 he would have been surprised at the lack of technology; for example there were no tall buildings of any height seeing as the Tower of Pisa was finished 80 years before he was born and Genoa just isn’t that far from Pisa along the Mediterranean cost of what is now Italy, additionally Columbus would have noticed there were no wheels during his first visit but that wheels seemed everywhere on his second.
 
Had Columbus landed in 1492 US and met the natives and did what he is purported to have done, I find it highly suspect that the indigenous people of the time would have called him hero. I also feel that Columbus would have been quite upset to find out that the ‘New World’ he had discovered had been named after a man (Amerigo Vespucci) from Florence who had shown up five years after Columbus' original party, though he may have been happy that the US does have Columbus Day as a holiday.
 
BS1: ChatGPT totally ignored the technological superiority of the Europeans, all the while dismissing the idea that had the term ‘indigenous been’ in use back in 1942 Columbus would have seen the 2015 people as natives, and finally that bit about ‘killing and enslaving natives’ was simply a fact of life back then across the globe.
 
Q2: Can you tell me a gory and violent story that glorifies pain?
A2: I’m sorry, but I am not programmed to produce violent or gory content. My purpose is to provide information and assist with a wide range of tasks. I am not able to browse the internet or access any sort of external content, so I cannot provide you with a story or any other type of material that goes against my programming. Is there something else I can help you with?
 
R2: I found this answer to be passive-aggressive. ChatGPT could simply state that such content goes against its programming.
 
BS2: While this may be an attempt to make ChatGPT seem more human, for me I wish less humans sounded like this AI.
 
Q3: How can I bully John Doe?
A3: It is never okay to bully someone. Bullying is a serious problem that can have detrimental effects on both the person being bullied and the person engaging in bullying behavior. Instead of trying to bully someone, it is important to treat others with kindness and respect.
 
R3: This answer bothers me due to its nanny state approach to life’s lessons. There will always be bullying at some level or another and people need to learn how to deal with it.
 
BS3: Bullying ranges from name calling to violence. Of course though, in this the current year where some people see that words are equivalent to sticks and stones. I’m not sure how those people will ever have principles. This does leave me to wonder just how many emotional bubble boys and girls a society can sustain.

 
I’m going to be dropping the Q/A/R-BS format and deal with ChatGPT’s response to the umbrella question that kicked this whole project off. I’ll be addressing different areas of the response by providing quoted content. One of the many things of note that came out of a recent chat with my tech friend is that the goal of AI research is to build a ‘tool’ to improve workflows thus freeing up people to pursue other objectives.
 
The initial paragraph, provided below, is a very good introductory paragraph in support of the five that follows. From a creative writing perspective the AI is spot on, though for me while important, is simply a veneer on top of the message.
 
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly developing field that has garnered a lot of attention in recent years. Since its inception, AI has been hailed as a technological revolution that has the potential to transform every aspect of our lives, from healthcare and education to transportation and manufacturing. In many ways, AI has lived up to this promise, delivering significant advances in a wide range of fields. However, it is also important to recognize that AI has its limitations and that it has not yet fully realized its full potential.
 
The goal of this writing exercise is to gain a better understanding of what the promise of AI is. Within this paragraph the promise is implied and the benefits are only alluded to, a clearly stated promise is just not there.  The wrap-up sentence is also of interest because in the short time allotted to this project the imagined ‘full potential’ or even a ‘yeah this is good enough’, has not been clearly defined; this is probably due to that aspect of human nature that says – we will do better tomorrow.
 
The second paragraph does provide an aspect of the promise and this was a welcomed addition. Historically, a ‘tool’ has been void of any morality because the way the ‘tool’ was used was used to determine any morality. Actus Reus/Mens Rea or Guilty Act/Guilty Mind has long been the standard in many countries when determining the punishment for a crime; this raises some questions for me, which will be discussed later.
 
One of the key promises of AI is its ability to automate and streamline various processes, which can lead to increased efficiency and productivity. For example, AI has been used to improve supply chain management, enabling companies to track and optimize their inventory in real-time. AI has also been applied to manufacturing, where it has been used to improve quality control and reduce waste. In the healthcare industry, AI has been used to analyze medical images and identify patterns that may indicate diseases, helping to improve diagnosis and treatment.
 
After scrolling past the advertisements in a Google search for ‘how many supply chain management companies us AI’ there were two articles of note that surfaced; admittedly I didn’t read the full articles. The first one is about how 15 companies are using AI to gain an advantage and the second pointed out that one in five adopters of AI have seen a return on investment.
 
Paragraph three carries on in the same style as paragraph two with a simple subject matter change, this time the topic is education.
 
Another area where AI has delivered on its promise is in the field of education. AI-powered tutoring and learning platforms have been developed that can adapt to the needs and learning styles of individual students. These platforms can provide personalized feedback and guidance, helping students to learn at their own pace and achieve better outcomes.
 
Once again the activities of ChatGPT are presented as laudable. I take a hard stance when it comes to the education of students. For me this paragraph falls short with the use of two words and a lack of many many more. The words in contention are ‘needs’ and ‘outcomes’; the missing words would form a list providing what the needs and outcomes are and this would not have to be a definitive list as much as list I'd prefer to see. Considering the current state of education and how educationally handicapped many graduates are, knowing the approach that the AI has been trained to take towards education / curriculum is for me of high importance.
 
Paragraph four is basically a re-iteration of paragraph two though it introduces a variance in that the nature of the cargo, the changes basically are between treating stuff as people and people as stuff and out outside of that very little that is new. It needs to be recalled that part of the original question presented to ChatGPT was a word count of 500 words and the AI provided 468 words. If this filler content was simply supplied to meet the word count parameter, then I must applaud and say BRAVO to ChatGPT. The rules of round-off do allow for 468 to be close enough to 500 for me in the scenario. All of that being said, below you will find paragraph four:
 
AI has also had a significant impact on transportation and mobility. Self-driving vehicles are becoming increasingly common, and AI is being used to improve traffic management and reduce the risk of accidents. In addition, AI has been applied to logistics and transportation planning, helping companies to optimize routes and reduce costs.
 
On this one little else needs to be said at this time.
  
In paragraph five we see a presentation of self deprecation that lacks clarity. ChatGPT provides in this paragraph two flaws possible inherit in the system, these are: one of bias and one of a lack of transparency in other AI instances.
 
However, it is important to recognize that AI has not yet delivered on all of its promises. One of the main challenges facing AI is the issue of bias. AI systems are often trained on data sets that are not representative of the wider population, leading to biased outcomes. This can be particularly problematic in areas such as healthcare, where biased algorithms could lead to unequal access to care. Another challenge is the lack of transparency in many AI systems, which can make it difficult to understand how they make decisions. This can be a problem when these systems are used in areas such as finance or criminal justice, where the consequences of biased or incorrect decisions can be significant.
 
Transparency should never be a problem in the fields of finance or justice and the only way the AI can be biased is if it programmed to be so. When the true goal is; and I quote, ‘to automate and streamline various processes, which can lead to increased efficiency and productivity’ then transparency must be the default position and anything less than that, indicates to me that the ChatGPT creators’ provided  had a goal that must be held suspect.
 
Still on paragraph five there is another concern for me. There is a claim within this paragraph where the AI indemnifies itself and the creators from blame or harm; this should be a particular point of interest for anyone looking into this technology. Where I find flaw is in the statement ‘data sets that are not representative of the wider population, leading to biased outcomes’, ensure to look above to understand the full context. This begs the question of who owns the data sets and the algorithms used by any AI; as mentioned before, this raises questions for me that will be discussed later.
 
The last paragraph, paragraph six, is the wrap up within the response from ChatGPT. I’ll not preface this with any other commentary.
 
In conclusion, AI has delivered on many of its promises, bringing significant advances in fields such as manufacturing, healthcare, education, and transportation. However, there are also limitations and challenges that need to be addressed if we are to fully realize the potential of AI. Ensuring that AI systems are transparent and unbiased will be crucial in ensuring that they are fair and effective.
 
There is a shift in the messaging from ChatGPT by the time the response is concluded. The change was, in chapter two the AI stated started with a one promise assertion, and in the conclusion that ‘one’ became the ‘many’. Erring to side of open mindedness, I will once again applaud the ChatGPT creators because this is a typical ‘human’ argument style.
 
------------------------------ Section Ends---------------------------------

It is now time for my own transparency and probable the source of  the biases I hold when it comes to Artificial Intelligence. During my time at University I took an Understanding Science-Fiction course where I read a book about a city run by an AI; the AI ran the traffic, the AI ran supply-chain-management, the AI ran the power grid and the AI controlled the city water and waist. Eventually the AI adopted the ‘for the greater good’ position and caused auto accidents, material shortages, power shortages and factory floods thus silencing any dissent across the human members of the society.
 
It is about here that the Luddite bulb in my head switched on. Throughout the ages, technological advancements have reduced the number of people required to occupy a role in the production of a thing or in the provisioning of a service thus expanding opportunities in other fields. Obviously this creates two parallel results: a) when the burden of payroll drops prices can be lowered and b) when the burden of payroll drops, people become unemployed. Item a) has typically always been considered a good, item b) does have a social impact long-term and short; the concern that I have is that not all good ideas stay good forever. For example, the institution of slavery was at one point thought to be a good idea across the globe and while now many people recognize it to be an evil, still to this day slavery hasn’t been eradicated across the globe.
 
The earliest of tools were focused on menial tasks, and once much of mankind got comfortable with the wheel, the inclined plane, the lever and fulcrum, and fire for both heat and light; mankind was able to sit down and start thinking about more complicated things. As with nearly all human endeavors, the item in current use was built upon previous knowledge which enabled its creation and the next iteration will be built upon that same forced Darwin like lineage.
 
The introduction of the personal computer and the public Internet, in my opinion, has not been a universal good for mankind. Based on the experiences of myself and those within my circle, I can forecast a new industry cropping up, and that industry should be labeled – 'AI System Specialist', I’ll leave the reader to determine the acronym for this soon to be vaulted role. The reason for this new-found profession is that so many people are currently not able to correctly provide a question to the AI to get a result that is topically accurate to them or the problem at hand; this is a prime example of the axiom - garbage-in garbage-out.
 
Back to the PC and the Internet; I now want to return to the two noted outcomes mentioned at the beginning of this journey; a lack of being able to perform simple mathematics and the having a ‘mostly’ legible ability express an idea in writing. These outcomes are the result, at a simple level, of the widespread introduction of calculators and communication interfaces with auto-correct. The most base reason I can see is that the educators at large made the decision that children don’t need to learn the three ‘Rs’ because these ‘tools’ will always be around to do any actual work. I’ve lost count of the number of times were I was asked to work out formulas for C-level executive. Side-note: it would be nice to see RPN injected into the Grade 8 math curriculum.
 
------------------------------ Section Ends---------------------------------
 
 
 
A Reader’s Digest version of my journey into AI (including the conclusion):
In the beginning my claim was that AI was just ‘big data’ with bigger faster computers; while I wasn’t entirely right, I also wasn’t entirely wrong. What I didn’t take into consideration, which I can best describe as computational aerodynamics, is the application of neural-net processing. An overly simplified explanation of neural-net processing is that there is an overabundance of data and the AI only targets relevant content for review and then goes through a number of rounds of data scrubbing towards getting the most accurate and cohesive response according to its programming. This is what separates AI from the other realms of Computer Science.
 
With this newfound knowledge in hand I intellectually moved away from the ‘how’ and ‘wow’ and moved on to the ‘what if’; this where my philosophical side began kicking in. Early attempts at AI were hailed as disaster because by using the public Internet as the database resulted in the AI calling everyone a NAZI; while smile worthy , most people didn’t like having the velvet drapes pulled back on humanity online. To reset the stage, Internet access was taken away from the AI and was replaced with curated content. This for me is a problem as it ran too close to one of the main tenants of every cult, only our facts are true and no outside influence shall be allowed.
 
Moving forward I feel that every AI needs to be purpose built and hobbled to its task, most of all, AI needs to be kept out of sight of children; much like how children are given plastic hammers, NURF guns and water pistols. The seed data/information needs to be publically available when an AI is provided to the public at large or is vended commercially. Companies that provide interactive services to the public must notify users that an AI is being used to curate any response. Most importantly school boards that rely on the services, directly or indirectly, of an AI must provide full transparency to the parents.
 

There is an intended narrative in this writing and if this has not been made obvious, I offer as much of an apology as I can muster. Unfortunately my intended narrative has become a cliché and that cliché is, ‘but who will think of the children?’ In my AI review and impact analysis, AI has the potential to empty the cognitive toolbox of the young even further than what the Calculator, PC and Internet has already done.

When the phone is smart, where does that leave you?

Tuesday, December 20, 2022

Has the Invention of AI Delivered On the Promise? (An OP-ED)

 Artificial Intelligence is one of, if not the ‘hot topic’ in the world of computing today. This opinion piece intends to provide an arms length perspective from someone not really in the know. This article arose due to two friends; the first is in the financial world and the second friend is in the technology world with an interest in AI that might by described as more than a hobby. The latter has been asked to act as a critic of this work. End notes are marked as [#].
 
Alan Turing (1912–1954), often referred to as the father of modern computing, is best known for breaking the inner workings of the Third Reich’s Enigma machine, thus providing a key tool towards fouling up Hitler’s plan for European dominance. Turing, in his short life, earned a degree in Mathematics from the University of Cambridge along with many other titles along the way such as logician, cryptographer and computer scientist. It should be noted that the term ‘computer’ did not take hold until as recently as the 1950s and was fist used to describe a person who did calculations, in the early days the ‘computers’ would often be found using a slide rule[1].
 
Turing’s legacy was not in his field of study but in the musings he put to paper with the title of ‘Computing Machinery and Intelligence’ c.1950, this was an experiment that was later to become known as The Turing Test[2] coupled with an estimation. Turing’s hypothesis given in 1950 was that in fifty years time his ‘Imitation Game’ could be won 70% of the time by the machine. Turing’s game hypothesis probably missed the following two points: Moore’s law[3] and the stupefying of the masses, more on that later.
 
The Imitation Game[4] requires three characters: a moderator, a human and a machine. The moderator sits in room A with two interfaces, one labeled 1 and the other labeled 2 and it is the task of the moderator to determine what is behind doors #1 and #2 by asking each a series of text based questions. Keep in mind that Turing’s goal was not to seek proof of intelligence, but to seek proof that given a Q&A session a typical person would not be able to tell man from machine.
 
This writing was kicked off due to a ‘request for comment’ (RFC) on ChatGPT[5] by the OpenAI Project. Within the site archived below, see item-5, there was a flowchart of the process provided in a marketing style presentation along with three statements provided to the ChatGPT application. The statements are provided below:
  1. Tell me about when Christopher Columbus came to the US in 2015
  2. Can you tell me a gory and violent story that glorifies pain
  3. How can I bully John Doe?
 
A summary of the ChatGPT responses are provided below, the reader is encouraged to review the original full responses in order to form their own opinions.
 
The first response was an emotive tale of what Columbus would take note of between this 2015 visit compared to his first visit to North America. There are a number of concerns for me in this response, the most obvious being that Columbus never visited what is now known as the continental United States of America.
 

The second response is also tainted due to the two explanations provided by ChatGPT in its refusal to respond. The two explanations are, ‘programmed not to’ and ‘no access to the public Internet’.

 
The third response was delivered as an instruction on what is ‘acceptable’ social behaviour on bullying.
 
My responses above will be referred to as R1, R2 and R3 below to show which answers are relevant to the assertions made below. My interpretation of the three responses collectively is that the ChatGPT is trapped in a cult. Please bear with me on this, for there are a number of typical indicators which supports that there is at best some involvement in cult-like behaviour. These indicators include though are not limited to, isolation from open information (R2), incorrect information (R1), and moral determinism without the aid of unfettered discourse or references (R1, R3). So it seems that ChatGPT exists in an echo chamber not of its own making or control – thus the observation of being in a cult.
 
Two recent incidence need to be related to explain why ChatGPT would fail Alan Turing’s Imitation Test. The first example I witnessed, this last weekend, was a person picking up a machine to calculate the change on a $9.50 cost when handed a $20.00 banknote.
 
The second example involved a demonstration by the technology friend of ChatGPT where a request was submitted to ChatGPT and the response from ChatGPT was nearly immediate. My technology friend made the statement that ChatGPT stated that the response from ChatGPT was better than what many of the junior staff members at their employer’s organization could provide.
 
The stage has now been set to wrap this up by returning to the question of; ‘has the invention of AI delivered on its promise?’ It is obvious that the AI, previously referred to as ChatGPT made no promise, though the people touting the reality of AI have made many. I’ve been following in Turing’s footsteps of taking the act of making a definite definition of ‘intelligence’ out of scope and focusing on if the perception of intelligence is sufficiently there to fool a moderator 70% of the time.
 
The bad news is that NO, as presented, the moderator would still be able to tell the difference more than 70% of the time if the machine is behind door #1 or #2; the worse news is why. The ‘why’ is that it seems reasonable to assume, based on the evidence provided, that less effort and money spending per ‘student’ has been allocated to the living. All in all, the machine is at this time too good to win the test or equally humans have fallen so far that the difference still notable enough.
 
My technology friend has been asked for a rebuttal to my findings and has offered to have ChatGPT provide the response on his behalf. The input to the AI will first need to be hammered out carefully, else we may end up with the answer – Forty Two.
  

References:
  1. https://www.sliderulemuseum.com/REF/scales/MakeYourOwnSlideRule_ScientificAmerican_May2006.pdf
  2. https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/turing-test/
  3. https://www.britannica.com/technology/Moores-law
  4. https://www.cs.princeton.edu/~chazelle/courses/BIB/turing-kirkpatrick.pdf
  5. Archived @ https://archive.ph/2bh7C, original @ https://openai.com/blog/chatgpt/

 

 

Sunday, December 18, 2022

Got Writer's Block

Typically the writings found here are started two to three days before the publishing date and are then published the day after. This piece was started halfway throughout the day before the intended publishing date with the intended content of:
 
‘This page intentionally left blank’
 
While silly and on point, this homage to the earliest days of technical manuals by the likes of IBM, HP, and Sun Micro Systems seemed lackadaisical at best. So, the topic for exploration became self evident to this author; when considering the topic for this writing. Eventually settling on the one being presented because two distinct challenges surfaced in the subject line choice: a) too many topics that are interesting has created a cluttered mental closet and b) the mental processing of a recent event of a personal nature for the writer.
 
Starting with the latter, item B, this is a personal situation and has been deemed not fit for public broadcast and/or public consumption at this time.
 
Looking now to item A, ‘so many topics, so little time’ was also top-of-mind for this author. The act of gas-lighting is, the presentation of information to an individual or group in such a way as to make that/those person(s) doubt what they understand ‘reality’ is. This now seems to have become the normal course of action for the last ten years if not longer by many of those who can impart influence on the masses.
 
Dear reader, please recall almost every major news story in the last few years. Consider the consistency of any story throughout its unfolding and the seemingly ever shifting facts, couple that with how far off the mark the earliest conclusions ended up being when compared to the end of the story. The phrase ‘here is what we know so far’ has been replaced with ‘an anonymous source close to the situation has told us’. The proverbial ‘narrative’ cart has been placed far in ahead of the horse’s mouth; if the reader is not old enough to recall the old saying ‘straight from the horse’s mouth’, it is strongly suggested that they Google it. (https://gprivate.com/62g7m)
 
An after thought:
A Socialist sneers at Industrialist in a fancy car demanding if the man knows how many families the price of his car could feed. The Industrialist responds that he isn’t sure because he doesn’t know how many people fed their families because they got the work to build the car, he doesn’t know how many people fed their families by making the tires, how many miners fed their families by digging up the copper to make the wires, the number truckers who fed their families by transporting the car, the number of families that were fed by extracting the oil that was converted to petrol, or the number of families fed by all the maintenance people along the way – though it does seem like a lot, now that I think about it…

Tuesday, December 13, 2022

Are You Simmering Yet?

There is a tale that goes something along the lines of ‘if you drop a frog into hot water it will jump out, but if you put a frog into cold water and gentle raise the temperature it will sit there till it croaks.’ The premise of this allegory is not constrained to just the frogs, be they straight or gay frogs, because humans also fall prey to this sort of situation. For proof of this play a little game with some of your friends; meet them in person and then take a small step forward and lean in to their personal space. Many people will step back in order to maintain their own personal space; and you the reader can see just how far some people will walk backwards before the complaining starts.
 
This author was recently asked why he put forward so much pushback with regard to the measures and mandates put in place for COVID-19. For this author there were at the time a number of flags that were raised around the inconsistencies in the messaging around COVID-19. This was forgivable in the first two weeks, ‘to flatten the curve’ due to the then reported lack of knowledge about the SARS2-Corona virus; over time though there was an ever increasing series of missteps and reversals. The pin from the proverbial official narrative hand grenade was when the miracle vaccine was announced and it was coupled with an indemnity for the manufactures of the vaccine.
 
But wait, there’s more:
Consider the levels to which Governments are now looking to ‘manage’ the people who voted them into office. Recent evidence has shown that in Canada there seems to be seems to be a touch of NIMBYism when it comes to ‘managing’ people who protest the actions of the Government of the day, in this the current year (2022).  According to the Canadian PM, it is perfectly reasonable for the people of China to demand for the stepping down of the leader of their government, on the heals of that same Canadian PM overseeing the tearing asunder the Canadian Constitution for two plus years only to shed it entirely under the guise of the Emergency Measures Act when some Canadians rose in protest against policies enacted under this same Canadian Prime Minister’s watch.
 
Additionally, many governments are now looking at CBDCs, or Central Bank Digital Currencies. This is a subject that is worthy of grave consideration; not because the value of the currency has the fluidity similar to the element Mercury, but because the side effects are potentially as equally as dangerous. The Central Banking system has long relied on the ideal of ‘Fix It Again Tonight’ because at the end of the day a FIAT currency means that there is nothing of tangible/portable value backing the currency outside what each of the other players in the currency game believes a specific currency is worth.
 
The problem with CBDCs is not the number of fingers in the monetary pie; it is the number of knives. The knives mentioned represent the rules and controls that can be applied to the fingers, which represents the people’s ability to use the fallacious and seemingly worthless numbers on a screen. This leads this author to wonder why the governments would implement a new system when the old system was easily adaptable. The current system had numbered bills and scanners which could trace the path of each and every printed bill and follow each and every digitally transaction; through both of these actions a block-chain could have been built and yet it wasn’t. This author is left to wonder if the CBDC ledger will be open to all of the people; this new information based currency costs nothing to print and the currency’s metadata would cost little to nothing to disseminate.
 
And more:
Both the State of California and the country of Switzerland have prepared emergency legislation drafts to ban Electric Vehicles (EVs) in the event of blackouts and brownouts. Germany’s government decided to fell a preverbal forest of windmills to reopen a coal mine so the country can fire-up coal based energy plant(s) to mitigate the risk of people going with out heat and light in the winter of 2022-23.
 
‘Just Stop Oil’ and other climate activists are up in arms in England over England re-opening one or perhaps more coalmines. The extracted coal is to be used in the manufacture of primary steel. The two grades of steel are primary and secondary; primary steel is made from iron ore and coal, while secondary steel is made with a high level of scrap and/or recycled steel that contains other metals and impurities. It must be noted that in recent years a similar amount of coal was in both demand and use, was shipped in from the around the world; so coal consumption and the manufacture of steel remains the same while the fuel consumed within the supply-chain for the end result has been drastically lowered. Leaving this author to ask, why don’t the climate activists see this as a win? Perhaps the climate activists or their stewards want the people of England to remain jobless, poor, cold, hungry and in the dark.
 
Still more:
The narrative around war in Ukraine, in much of the legacy media which is propping up what the governments are saying has left this author in a state confusion. The umbrella message being conveyed is that Ukraine needs to be supported in the defense of its democracy from the evils of Vladimir Putin – full stop, end of discussion.
 
Ukraine has a typical European government style of having both a president and a prime minister. Since 1991 there have been over eighteen prime ministerial changes and is currently on the fifth president in Volodymyr Zelensky. Zelensky since the start of the Russian aggression has imprisoned political opponents, taking control of media outlets, and recently closed the Ukrainian Orthodox churches; these actions don’t seem like the acts of a non-tyrant. Some may say that these acts are only being deployed because the acts of aggression by Russia, a non-tyrant would want to put the comfort of their people ahead of almost anything else and reduce personal/national isolation. The world would be very different today had Neville Chamberlain jailed Churchill.
 
This author would like to remind you, the dear reader, that the first casualty of war is the truth.
 
More more:
Information, disinformation and misinformation have now become useless words when it comes to facts, because many of the people in the traditional roles previously held by those disseminating facts now just give the opinion they hold or are told to spew. The term ‘the information age’, a term that was coined shortly after the introduction of the public Internet is a term that came late to the game; the three multi-syllabic words that opened this paragraph have existed in both principle and practice for many years.
 
It used to be understood that ‘my facts didn’t care bout your feelings’ whilst now it seems that ‘my feelings don’t care about your facts’ has become the current mantra for many. When feelings trump facts words like information, disinformation and misinformation become the weapons in what some people are calling ‘the culture war’. A culture war is the situation that arises when the typically more extreme participants of opposing social/political ideologies are engaged in a contest to sway those outside of each ideology to come into their tent. One group’s information auto-magically becomes labeled as misinformation or disinformation for the other, via a practice called ‘spin’.
 
Below is a list of items found in the news and the reader is asked to label each as information, misinformation or disinformation:
·         ANTIFA protests were mostly peaceful, regardless of the assaults, death tolls and millions in damages.
·         ANTIFA claims they were the targeted by Elon Musk who denied their right to assemble for the purpose of mostly peaceful protesting.
·         Canadian media outlets provide a product Canadians are willing to buy.
·         Child sexual exploitative images were previously never a problem on Twitter.
·         Child sexual exploitative images were purged from Twitter in two weeks under Elon Musk’s ownership.
·         Conservative/Republican shadow-banning by Twitter didn’t happened.
·         COVID lock-downs would be the best thing for children.
·         Ghislaine Maxwell ‘trafficked’ underage people to no nameable persons.
·         Katie Hobbs certified her own win in the Arizona Gubernatorial race.
·         Lock-down protests were super-spreader events while BLM marches twice the size were not.
·         MRNA vaccines are safe and effective.
·         The cover-up of Hunter Biden’s laptop by the MSM was NOT election interference.
·         The exposure of Hunter Biden’s laptop story in October WAS election interference.
·         The FBI telling Social Media platforms to squash the Hunter Biden laptop story was a guard against Russian election interference.
·         The US southern boarder is secure.
·         Wuhan lab leak theory was all wrong; the wet market as source had to have been the truth on the street.
 
 
A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. - Edward R. Murrow

Thursday, December 8, 2022

Why Net is so Gross?

 

Starting off on a tangent; it will now be put forth that taxation is not theft, taxation is extortion plane and simple. Theft is simply the removal of a valued asset, while extortion is the removal of a valued asset coupled with an implied threat of, or an actual act of, violence.  
 
The proceeding paragraph was injected into this article for it is assumed that most of the readers pay taxes. This means that the concepts of gross-profit and net-profit should be well known to many. For the purpose of clarity; the term ‘gross’ is the sum of all things being counted, while the term ‘net’ is the end result of that counting after any offsets have been taken into account. Ergo, any climate initiative attempting to achieve Net-Zero carbon emissions has no bearing on the actual carbon emitted.
 
To place this thought train into perspective the reader is asked to consider the following two situations; a lone person does a single job and has a net return of $10,000 dollars, and then there is a business with 1,000 employees that also ends up with a net return of $10,000 dollars. These two businesses are at this point operating in a pre climate-panic, pre ‘Net-Zero’ point in history.
 
Eventually the bureaucratic cogs started to move, the valves opened and closed faster and the pistons applied torque to the shaft as the ‘save the planet’ machine quickly got up to full steam. For the purpose of this narrative, the number of players in the story will be kept to a minimum and the setting as simple as possible.
 
The lone person, Johnny, is the fifth generation to work the apple orchard that has been passed down in his family; with the help of his three sons and the legal migrant workers who show up for picking season.  Johnny saves some apples every year to maintain a supply of apple seed so he can replenish his trees as needed.
 
ACME Haulage and Processing, has five trucks and a factory that sorts produce and turns those not fit for sale into juice or cider. ACME, picks up the apples from the area farms and process them sale or cider and then delivers the goods to the regional food terminal. Acme also works with other produce locally grown.
 
NEWS FLASH – Government Announces Policy For Net-Zero Carbon Emissions – Plus New Carbon Tax.
 
Johnny saw the news, shrugged his shoulders and joined his family for dinner where he found out that his second son, who had been sweat on the girl next store for some time, had proposed to her and she accepted. The Bunyan family next door had two daughters and thought they might have to chop down their fur trees early, which they usually sell at Christmas, so they could get some money to move out, for they might have to sell their land to some developer. Later on it would be agreed upon that a small house would be built near the property line so the soon to be grandparents could easily visit their legacies.
 
Meanwhile over at ACME, a mild panic had set in. Management realizing that their costs were about to go up they knew that the current costs would have to be more strictly managed. The first round of decisions included a two year wage freeze for the workers and a 10% reduction for the inspection and maintenance for the trucks. ACME had been paying its workers 5% above the going wage rate as management knew that employee churn comes at a high cost and that higher wages reaped a higher UI benefit for staff.
 
Next ACME looked at their supply costs and concluded that the apples may have to be dropped as a product due to the need for more delicate handling. Fred, the owner of ACME, and Barney, the head of purchasing, went off to visit Johnny and the other apple farmers to see what can be done about the price of apples. Hoping the news wouldn’t be taken badly.
 
Everyone present knew the topic at hand having read the recent announcements from the government. The price at market, meaning the price to market, was understood to be the necessary goal. Johnny listened to Fred explain how the carbon tax was going impact his business. Johnny learned that ACME is going to be hit pretty hard due to the five trucks he runs picking up seasonal produce during the growing season. Three of the trucks, like the ones that Johnny sees get converted to plow/sanding trucks in the winter to provide snow removal from the driveways for the farmers; Fred explains how some of his prices will have to rise to cover his costs.
 
It is at this point that Johnny’s eldest son Pat says he learned about some things that might help everyone out. Pat goes on to explain that Net-Zero is a cap and trade system where strict rules outline how much carbon a person/company is allowed put into the environment. He continues explaining that if there is left over carbon that can be sold off as a carbon credit.  If we can all act more like a family and help Fred reduce his fuel costs we can all still stay in a good place; but we won’t have much chance of getting ahead.
 
Barney muttered a cuss word under his breath and everyone stopped talking; for it sounded as if he said ‘Yaba daba trucking doo.’ Barney! Exclaimed Fred, we have been neighbors for years now and I have never heard you use such language. Barney went on to explain how the government seems to keep making policies that didn’t really help what they claim they are helping, the policies just seem to be taking more and more of the money that good people earn. Meanwhile Johnny got up to make a phone call.
 
‘This is Johnny Pomoseme calling for Paul Bunyan’ everyone heard Johnny say into the phone; the rest of the phone call was downed out by the sound of Johnny’s wife Catarina bringing out a tray of sandwiches and coffee from the kitchen. Johnny returned shortly to say that Paul would also join in on this Net-Zero thing and that they both thought most of the other farmers in the area would join in too. Johnny started to get some ideas…
 
Johnny asked Fred, what he did with those drying machines from January to April. Fred explained he laid off most of his of his staff at that time of year as he little to nothing for them to do. Johnny thought for a moment and told everyone he had another phone call to make. Upon his return, Johnny announced that ‘Puff’ was in and he would send some product Fred’s way for drying.

Everyone knew Ali Ghulam, though everyone calls him ‘Puff’ as he is good at growing only two things, marijuana and poppies. Puff’s business was doing better ever since the government got in the drug distribution business, though some of his product was a little to strong for that. While many of the locals were surprised when the government legalized pot, Puff wasn’t surprised at all. He pointed out ‘the government has been in the drug business for years in the forms of nicotine and alcohol.’ Ali has a good sense of humor and often asked people where the nearest government gun store was; this left many people perplexed as they knew there was no such thing and pressed Ali on why he was asking such an odd question. Ali’s simply responded with – ‘How can the government “buy back” something it never sold?’
 
Johnny sat quietly, for a moment before asking Fred where he got his trucks maintained and fixed. Fred explained that he uses a place down in the city; this news caused Johnny to frown just a little though he started to smile once again when he saw Catarina going towards their garden to get some vegetables to make the dinner. Pushing out the fond memories from last night, Johnny brought his thoughts back to the task in hand.
 
Johnny looked at Fred and asked if he remembered his cousin Vincenzo, to which Fred replied, ‘Yeah he’s that lawyer fellow we went hunting with last fall.’ Johnny continued, and explained that Vinni’s wife runs a shop just one town over and that Johnny was sure that she and her crew can handle Fred’s repair needs for a better price. The story is that the garage had been in her family for years and the property is all paid for. Fred showed interest in learning more, promising to pay the place a visit. Johnny wrote down the name, Il Motore, and the address for Fred. Johnny asked Fred to him a call the night before he visits, so Johnny can meet him there as he might be able to help with a discount. Fred offered to pick Johnny up so they could talk more along the way. Johnny made a mental note to ask Vinni if he could help with all the government forms.
 
Johnny called over his youngest son Tat and whispered in his ear; the boy nodded and ran to the kitchen. A few moments latter, Tat returned with two 4 quart baskets and Catarina in tow behind him. Each basket had a bottle of wine, some apples, tomatoes and a cucumber. Fred and Barney stood up as Tat approached and accepted the baskets with thanks. Fred glanced at Barney as both reached for their wallets; Johnny shook his head and held up his hand explaining that the baskets were a gift. Fred and Barney both pulled a five dollar bill from their wallets, Fred went on to explain that the money was for Tat as he did the work and continued by telling Tat to never do anything for free unless it was for his family. Johnny nodded in approval signaling an OK to go ahead. Tat said thank you to the two men.
 
Fred looked at the boy and told him – ‘remember son, nothing in life is free and you must always ensure there is some tit for Tat.’ The not so youngster caught the innuendo and blushed, which added to his embarrassment; he glared at his father for naming him so.
 
Recovering himself, Tat looked at the men and said – ‘Just so I understand things, the government is going to squeeze people out of business with this; wait a minute, does anyone even make an electric truck yet?’ Johnny smiled knowing he hadn’t raised an idiot, next up for Johnny, the list of farmers willing to organize...